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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus 100,000 times. Juventus won 45,394 of them (45.4%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and AZ Alkmaar won 29.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Juventus win is 0-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 55.6% of simulations.
| AZ Alkmaar win | 29.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Juventus win | 45.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 1.58 |
| Both teams to score | 55.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.7% |
| AZ Alkmaar score first | 42% |
| Juventus score first | 51.5% |
| AZ Alkmaar clean sheet | 21% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 30% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684638 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventus are favourites. They win 45.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 29.2% for AZ Alkmaar. Including the draw, Juventus avoid defeat 70.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest Juventus win is 0-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.6% of simulations. AZ Alkmaar keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Juventus 30%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.21 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.58 for Juventus. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.7% and over 3.5 goals 30.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.