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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille 100,000 times. Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 68,095 of them (68.1%), the draw came up 17.5% of the time and Olympique Marseille won 14.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.3%), and both teams score in 59.3% of simulations.
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen win | 68.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.5% |
| Olympique Marseille win | 14.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.48 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.9% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen score first | 68.4% |
| Olympique Marseille score first | 28.4% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet | 35.2% |
| Olympique Marseille clean sheet | 8.8% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684662 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are favourites. They win 68.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.5% for the draw and 14.4% for Olympique Marseille. Including the draw, Bayer 04 Leverkusen avoid defeat 85.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-1 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations. Bayer 04 Leverkusen keep a clean sheet 35.2% of the time and Olympique Marseille 8.8%.
The simulations average 3.54 goals: 2.48 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.05 for Olympique Marseille. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.1% and over 3.5 goals 46.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.