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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City 100,000 times. Blackburn Rovers won 39,417 of them (39.4%), the draw came up 28.4% of the time and Stoke City won 32.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Blackburn Rovers win is 1-0 (9.6%). Both teams score in 52.4% of simulations.
| Blackburn Rovers win | 39.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.4% |
| Stoke City win | 32.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 52.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.6% |
| Blackburn Rovers score first | 45.1% |
| Stoke City score first | 46% |
| Blackburn Rovers clean sheet | 30.4% |
| Stoke City clean sheet | 26.1% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
West Bromwich Albion
Southampton
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643790 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Blackburn Rovers are favourites. They win 39.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.4% for the draw and 32.2% for Stoke City. Including the draw, Blackburn Rovers avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.6%) and 0-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win is 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.4% of simulations. Blackburn Rovers keep a clean sheet 30.4% of the time and Stoke City 26.1%.
The simulations average 2.56 goals: 1.36 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.20 for Stoke City. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47% and over 3.5 goals 25.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.