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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Watford vs Lincoln City 100,000 times. Watford won 41,468 of them (41.5%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Lincoln City won 32%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Watford win is 1-0 (8.9%). Both teams score in 55.7% of simulations.
| Watford win | 41.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Lincoln City win | 32% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 55.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.8% |
| Watford score first | 46.6% |
| Lincoln City score first | 46.2% |
| Watford clean sheet | 28.4% |
| Lincoln City clean sheet | 23.1% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
West Bromwich Albion
Southampton
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643765 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Watford are favourites. They win 41.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 32% for Lincoln City. Including the draw, Watford avoid defeat 68.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest Watford win is 1-0 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.7% of simulations. Watford keep a clean sheet 28.4% of the time and Lincoln City 23.1%.
The simulations average 2.75 goals: 1.48 for Watford and 1.27 for Lincoln City. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.7% and over 3.5 goals 29.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.