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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley 100,000 times. Queens Park Rangers won 53,060 of them (53.1%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Burnley won 23.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Queens Park Rangers win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 58.9% of simulations.
| Queens Park Rangers win | 53.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Burnley win | 23.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.89 – 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 58.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.7% |
| Queens Park Rangers score first | 56.9% |
| Burnley score first | 37.3% |
| Queens Park Rangers clean sheet | 31.1% |
| Burnley clean sheet | 15.6% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
West Bromwich Albion
Southampton
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643945 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Queens Park Rangers are favourites. They win 53.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 23.1% for Burnley. Including the draw, Queens Park Rangers avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.9% of simulations. Queens Park Rangers keep a clean sheet 31.1% of the time and Burnley 15.6%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.89 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.18 for Burnley. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.9% and over 3.5 goals 36.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.