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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford 100,000 times. Brighton & Hove Albion won 55,285 of them (55.3%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Brentford won 21.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations.
| Brighton & Hove Albion win | 55.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Brentford win | 21.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.97 – 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.1% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion score first | 58.5% |
| Brentford score first | 36.5% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet | 31.8% |
| Brentford clean sheet | 14.4% |
Everton
Coventry City
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Arsenal
Hull City
2.6–0.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Fulham
Newcastle United
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
1.1–1.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Sunderland
Chelsea
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Ipswich Town
AFC Bournemouth
1.2–1.7
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
1.2–2.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665903 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites. They win 55.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 21.6% for Brentford. Including the draw, Brighton & Hove Albion avoid defeat 78.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations. Brighton & Hove Albion keep a clean sheet 31.8% of the time and Brentford 14.4%.
The simulations average 3.13 goals: 1.97 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.16 for Brentford. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.1% and over 3.5 goals 38.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.