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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
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The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth 100,000 times. AFC Bournemouth won 46,427 of them (46.4%), the draw came up 26% of the time and Ipswich Town won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest AFC Bournemouth win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations.
| Ipswich Town win | 27.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| AFC Bournemouth win | 46.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.24 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 58.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.5% |
| Ipswich Town score first | 35.6% |
| AFC Bournemouth score first | 57.9% |
| Ipswich Town clean sheet | 19.1% |
| AFC Bournemouth clean sheet | 29.2% |
Everton
Coventry City
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Arsenal
Hull City
2.6–0.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Fulham
Newcastle United
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
1.1–1.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Sunderland
Chelsea
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
1.2–2.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665964 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AFC Bournemouth are favourites. They win 46.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 27.6% for Ipswich Town. Including the draw, AFC Bournemouth avoid defeat 72.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Bournemouth win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations. Ipswich Town keep a clean sheet 19.1% of the time and AFC Bournemouth 29.2%.
The simulations average 2.92 goals: 1.24 for Ipswich Town and 1.68 for AFC Bournemouth. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.6% and over 3.5 goals 33.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.