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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Crystal Palace vs Liverpool 100,000 times. Liverpool won 57,544 of them (57.5%), the draw came up 22.3% of the time and Crystal Palace won 20.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations.
| Crystal Palace win | 20.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.3% |
| Liverpool win | 57.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.16 – 2.08 |
| Both teams to score | 60.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.5% |
| Crystal Palace score first | 31.8% |
| Liverpool score first | 63.2% |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 13% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 31.7% |
Everton
Coventry City
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Arsenal
Hull City
2.6–0.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Fulham
Newcastle United
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
1.1–1.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Sunderland
Chelsea
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Ipswich Town
AFC Bournemouth
1.2–1.7
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665995 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Liverpool are favourites. They win 57.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.3% for the draw and 20.2% for Crystal Palace. Including the draw, Liverpool avoid defeat 79.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations. Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet 13% of the time and Liverpool 31.7%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 1.16 for Crystal Palace and 2.08 for Liverpool. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.4% and over 3.5 goals 40.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.