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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise 100,000 times. Celta de Vigo won 38,384 of them (38.4%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Union Saint-Gilloise won 35.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Celta de Vigo win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations.
| Celta de Vigo win | 38.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise win | 35.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 58.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.6% |
| Celta de Vigo score first | 51% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise score first | 42.3% |
| Celta de Vigo clean sheet | 25% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise clean sheet | 23.3% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684700 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Celta de Vigo are favourites. They win 38.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 35.3% for Union Saint-Gilloise. Including the draw, Celta de Vigo avoid defeat 64.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Celta de Vigo win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations. Celta de Vigo keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Union Saint-Gilloise 23.3%.
The simulations average 2.88 goals: 1.47 for Celta de Vigo and 1.40 for Union Saint-Gilloise. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.7% and over 3.5 goals 32.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.