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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Celtic vs Beşiktaş 100,000 times. Beşiktaş won 41,548 of them (41.6%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Celtic won 34.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Beşiktaş win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations.
| Celtic win | 34.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Beşiktaş win | 41.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.49 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 62.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.8% |
| Celtic score first | 43.9% |
| Beşiktaş score first | 51.3% |
| Celtic clean sheet | 19.3% |
| Beşiktaş clean sheet | 22.9% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684664 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Beşiktaş are favourites. They win 41.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 34.1% for Celtic. Including the draw, Beşiktaş avoid defeat 65.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Beşiktaş win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations. Celtic keep a clean sheet 19.3% of the time and Beşiktaş 22.9%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 1.49 for Celtic and 1.67 for Beşiktaş. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.9% and over 3.5 goals 38.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.