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  1. Simulations
  2. MLS
  3. Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
MLS · 100,000 simulations

Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction

We simulated Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union 100,000 times. Cincinnati won 42,787 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Philadelphia Union won 32.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Cincinnati win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 68.6% of simulations.

Cincinnati badge
Cincinnati TQL Stadium
1–0 Full time
Philadelphia Union badge
Philadelphia Union Away
42.8% 42,787 wins
24.5% Draw
32.8% 32,755 wins
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.63
Likeliest score
1-1 10.4% Top Cincinnati win: 2-1 8.5%
Both score
68.6%
Over 2.5
67.6%

Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Cincinnati winning 42.8% and gave this exact score 4.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Allen Chapman TQL Stadium, United States
Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union live score, stats & lineups

Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Saturday 31 October, 18:00

Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union simulation probabilities
Cincinnati win42.8%
Draw24.5%
Philadelphia Union win32.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.4%)
Expected goals1.88 – 1.63
Both teams to score68.6%
Over 1.5 goals87.3%
Over 2.5 goals67.6%
Over 3.5 goals46.3%
Cincinnati score first53.8%
Philadelphia Union score first42%
Cincinnati clean sheet20.1%
Philadelphia Union clean sheet15.7%

More MLS simulations

CF Montréal Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3–2.0 xG 62% Over 2.5 Chicago Fire Columbus Crew 2.0–1.4 xG 66% Over 2.5 Inter Miami Charlotte 2.8–1.3 xG 77% Over 2.5 New York RB Atlanta United 2.1–1.5 xG 69% Over 2.5 Orlando City New England 2.2–1.6 xG 73% Over 2.5 DC United New York City 1.3–1.4 xG 51% Over 2.5 Cincinnati Nashville SC 1.6–1.5 xG 59% Over 2.5 Philadelphia Union Toronto 2.4–1.0 xG 65% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420510245
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction FAQs

Who will win Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Cincinnati are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 32.8% for Philadelphia Union. Including the draw, Cincinnati avoid defeat 67.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Cincinnati win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Both teams score in 68.6% of simulations. Cincinnati keep a clean sheet 20.1% of the time and Philadelphia Union 15.7%.

How many goals will there be in Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

The simulations average 3.50 goals: 1.88 for Cincinnati and 1.63 for Philadelphia Union. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.6% and over 3.5 goals 46.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.