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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie B
  3. Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B · 100,000 simulations

Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta prediction

We simulated Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta 100,000 times. Cuiabá won 86,773 of them (86.8%), the draw came up 9.6% of the time and Ponte Preta won 3.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.9%), and both teams score in 32.9% of simulations.

Cuiabá badge
Cuiabá Arena Pantanal
2–0 Full time
Ponte Preta badge
Ponte Preta Away
86.8% 86,773 wins
9.6% Draw
3.6% 3,641 wins
Expected goals
2.90 – 0.43
Likeliest score
2-0 14.9%
Both score
32.9%
Over 2.5
64.3%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Cuiabá winning 86.8% and gave this exact score 14.9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Michelangelo Martins de Almeida Junior Arena Pantanal, Brazil
Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta live score, stats & lineups

Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie B · Saturday 3 October, 21:00

Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta simulation probabilities
Cuiabá win86.8%
Draw9.6%
Ponte Preta win3.6%
Most likely score2-0 (14.9%)
Expected goals2.90 – 0.43
Both teams to score32.9%
Over 1.5 goals83.9%
Over 2.5 goals64.3%
Over 3.5 goals42.6%
Cuiabá score first82.9%
Ponte Preta score first13.5%
Cuiabá clean sheet64.9%
Ponte Preta clean sheet5.8%

More Brazil Serie B simulations

Londrina Náutico 2.1–1.0 xG 58% Over 2.5 Juventude Botafogo SP 1.8–0.7 xG 45% Over 2.5 CRB Ceará 2.2–0.8 xG 57% Over 2.5 Criciúma Novorizontino 1.2–1.1 xG 40% Over 2.5 Fortaleza Vila Nova 1.3–1.0 xG 40% Over 2.5 Atlético GO Cuiabá 1.9–0.6 xG 46% Over 2.5 Sport Recife Goiás 1.3–1.5 xG 54% Over 2.5 São Bernardo Athletic Club 1.7–1.1 xG 50% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420534149
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta prediction FAQs

Who will win Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta?

Cuiabá are favourites. They win 86.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 9.6% for the draw and 3.6% for Ponte Preta. Including the draw, Cuiabá avoid defeat 96.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta?

2-0, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (14.2%) and 1-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta?

Both teams score in 32.9% of simulations. Cuiabá keep a clean sheet 64.9% of the time and Ponte Preta 5.8%.

How many goals will there be in Cuiabá vs Ponte Preta?

The simulations average 3.34 goals: 2.90 for Cuiabá and 0.43 for Ponte Preta. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.3% and over 3.5 goals 42.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.