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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fortaleza vs Athletic Club 100,000 times. Fortaleza won 61,709 of them (61.7%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Athletic Club won 13.9%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.4%), and both teams score in 42% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24.4% and gave this exact score 3.2%.
| Fortaleza win | 61.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Athletic Club win | 13.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.75 – 0.70 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.4% |
| Fortaleza score first | 63.1% |
| Athletic Club score first | 27.3% |
| Fortaleza clean sheet | 49.9% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 17.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534150 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fortaleza are favourites. They win 61.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 13.9% for Athletic Club. Including the draw, Fortaleza avoid defeat 86.1% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.1%) and 1-1 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42% of simulations. Fortaleza keep a clean sheet 49.9% of the time and Athletic Club 17.7%.
The simulations average 2.45 goals: 1.75 for Fortaleza and 0.70 for Athletic Club. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.3% and over 3.5 goals 23.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
