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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City 100,000 times. Houston Dynamo won 41,799 of them (41.8%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and St. Louis City won 31.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Houston Dynamo win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.
| Houston Dynamo win | 41.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| St. Louis City win | 31.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.6% |
| Houston Dynamo score first | 46.8% |
| St. Louis City score first | 46.1% |
| Houston Dynamo clean sheet | 27.1% |
| St. Louis City clean sheet | 21.4% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–1.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.7–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.5
xG
72%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509977 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Houston Dynamo are favourites. They win 41.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 31.1% for St. Louis City. Including the draw, Houston Dynamo avoid defeat 68.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. Houston Dynamo keep a clean sheet 27.1% of the time and St. Louis City 21.4%.
The simulations average 2.88 goals: 1.56 for Houston Dynamo and 1.32 for St. Louis City. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.7% and over 3.5 goals 32.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.