We simulated Miami FC II vs Loudoun United 100,000 times. Miami FC II won 49,675 of them (49.7%), the draw came up 24.1% of the time and Loudoun United won 26.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Miami FC II win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations.
| Miami FC II win | 49.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.1% |
| Loudoun United win | 26.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.3% |
| Miami FC II score first | 57.6% |
| Loudoun United score first | 37.3% |
| Miami FC II clean sheet | 26.8% |
| Loudoun United clean sheet | 15.5% |
Lexington
Tulsa Roughnecks
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sporting JAX
Birmingham Legion
1.6–2.1
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Charleston Battery
Louisville City
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Detroit City
Rhode Island
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Hartford Athletic
1.3–0.9
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive
Orange County
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520162 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Miami FC II are favourites. They win 49.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.1% for the draw and 26.2% for Loudoun United. Including the draw, Miami FC II avoid defeat 73.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Miami FC II win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations. Miami FC II keep a clean sheet 26.8% of the time and Loudoun United 15.5%.
The simulations average 3.23 goals: 1.90 for Miami FC II and 1.33 for Loudoun United. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.2% and over 3.5 goals 40.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
