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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Minnesota United vs LA Galaxy 100,000 times. Minnesota United won 58,402 of them (58.4%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and LA Galaxy won 19.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.6%, while the likeliest Minnesota United win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 63.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had LA Galaxy winning 19.7% and gave this exact score 2.4%.
| Minnesota United win | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.9% |
| LA Galaxy win | 19.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.22 – 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 63.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.1% |
| Minnesota United score first | 57.3% |
| LA Galaxy score first | 38.4% |
| Minnesota United clean sheet | 29.5% |
| LA Galaxy clean sheet | 11.3% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.8–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.1–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.6
xG
72%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510211 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Minnesota United are favourites. They win 58.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 19.7% for LA Galaxy. Including the draw, Minnesota United avoid defeat 80.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.6% of simulations. Minnesota United keep a clean sheet 29.5% of the time and LA Galaxy 11.3%.
The simulations average 3.45 goals: 2.22 for Minnesota United and 1.23 for LA Galaxy. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.6% and over 3.5 goals 45.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.