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  1. Simulations
  2. MLS
  3. New York RB vs St. Louis City
MLS · 100,000 simulations

New York RB vs St. Louis City prediction

We simulated New York RB vs St. Louis City 100,000 times. St. Louis City won 48,429 of them (48.4%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and New York RB won 28%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest St. Louis City win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 64% of simulations.

New York RB badge
New York RB Sports Illustrated Stadium
0–3 Full time
St. Louis City badge
St. Louis City Away
28% 28,033 wins
23.5% Draw
48.4% 48,429 wins
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.89
Likeliest score
1-1 10.4% Top St. Louis City win: 1-2 9.1%
Both score
64%
Over 2.5
63.6%

Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had St. Louis City winning 48.4% and gave this exact score 4.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Rubiel Vazquez Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
New York RB vs St. Louis City live score, stats & lineups

New York RB vs St. Louis City in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Thursday 1 October, 00:30

New York RB vs St. Louis City simulation probabilities
New York RB win28%
Draw23.5%
St. Louis City win48.4%
Most likely score1-1 (10.4%)
Expected goals1.40 – 1.89
Both teams to score64%
Over 1.5 goals84.3%
Over 2.5 goals63.6%
Over 3.5 goals41.7%
New York RB score first39%
St. Louis City score first56.5%
New York RB clean sheet15.5%
St. Louis City clean sheet25%

More MLS simulations

CF Montréal Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3–2.0 xG 63% Over 2.5 Chicago Fire Columbus Crew 2.0–1.4 xG 66% Over 2.5 Inter Miami Charlotte 2.8–1.3 xG 76% Over 2.5 New York RB Atlanta United 2.1–1.4 xG 67% Over 2.5 Orlando City New England 2.2–1.6 xG 72% Over 2.5 DC United New York City 1.4–1.5 xG 55% Over 2.5 Cincinnati Nashville SC 1.6–1.6 xG 62% Over 2.5 Philadelphia Union Toronto 2.5–1.0 xG 67% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

New York RB vs St. Louis City prediction FAQs

Who will win New York RB vs St. Louis City?

St. Louis City are favourites. They win 48.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 28% for New York RB. Including the draw, St. Louis City avoid defeat 72% of the time.

What is the most likely score in New York RB vs St. Louis City?

1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest St. Louis City win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in New York RB vs St. Louis City?

Both teams score in 64% of simulations. New York RB keep a clean sheet 15.5% of the time and St. Louis City 25%.

How many goals will there be in New York RB vs St. Louis City?

The simulations average 3.29 goals: 1.40 for New York RB and 1.89 for St. Louis City. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.6% and over 3.5 goals 41.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.