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  1. Simulations
  2. MLS
  3. Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City
MLS · 100,000 simulations

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City prediction

We simulated Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City 100,000 times. Philadelphia Union won 62,825 of them (62.8%), the draw came up 19.6% of the time and Orlando City won 17.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.8%), and both teams score in 67.8% of simulations.

Philadelphia Union badge
Philadelphia Union Subaru Park
4–2 Full time
Orlando City badge
Orlando City Away
62.8% 62,825 wins
19.6% Draw
17.6% 17,581 wins
Expected goals
2.55 – 1.32
Likeliest score
2-1 8.8%
Both score
67.8%
Over 2.5
73.7%

Full time 4-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Philadelphia Union winning 62.8% and gave this exact score 3.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Sergii Demianchuk Subaru Park, Chester
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City live score, stats & lineups

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Sunday 27 September, 00:30

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City simulation probabilities
Philadelphia Union win62.8%
Draw19.6%
Orlando City win17.6%
Most likely score2-1 (8.8%)
Expected goals2.55 – 1.32
Both teams to score67.8%
Over 1.5 goals90.3%
Over 2.5 goals73.7%
Over 3.5 goals53.7%
Philadelphia Union score first62.7%
Orlando City score first34.3%
Philadelphia Union clean sheet27.1%
Orlando City clean sheet8.2%

More MLS simulations

CF Montréal Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3–2.0 xG 63% Over 2.5 Chicago Fire Columbus Crew 2.0–1.4 xG 66% Over 2.5 Inter Miami Charlotte 2.8–1.3 xG 76% Over 2.5 New York RB Atlanta United 2.1–1.4 xG 67% Over 2.5 Orlando City New England 2.2–1.6 xG 72% Over 2.5 DC United New York City 1.4–1.5 xG 55% Over 2.5 Cincinnati Nashville SC 1.6–1.6 xG 62% Over 2.5 Philadelphia Union Toronto 2.5–1.0 xG 67% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510344
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City prediction FAQs

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?

Philadelphia Union are favourites. They win 62.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.6% for the draw and 17.6% for Orlando City. Including the draw, Philadelphia Union avoid defeat 82.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?

2-1, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8%) and 3-1 (7.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?

Both teams score in 67.8% of simulations. Philadelphia Union keep a clean sheet 27.1% of the time and Orlando City 8.2%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?

The simulations average 3.86 goals: 2.55 for Philadelphia Union and 1.32 for Orlando City. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.7% and over 3.5 goals 53.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.