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MLS · 100,000 simulations

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United prediction

We simulated Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United 100,000 times. Portland Timbers won 51,047 of them (51.1%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Atlanta United won 25.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Portland Timbers win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 63.8% of simulations.

Portland Timbers badge
Portland Timbers Providence Park
0–1 Full time
Atlanta United badge
Atlanta United Away
51.1% 51,047 wins
23.6% Draw
25.3% 25,332 wins
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.34
Likeliest score
1-1 10.5% Top Portland win: 2-1 9.3%
Both score
63.8%
Over 2.5
63.8%

Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Atlanta United winning 25.3% and gave this exact score 4.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Ismail Elfath Providence Park, Portland
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United live score, stats & lineups

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Sunday 20 September, 03:30

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United simulation probabilities
Portland Timbers win51.1%
Draw23.6%
Atlanta United win25.3%
Most likely score1-1 (10.5%)
Expected goals1.97 – 1.34
Both teams to score63.8%
Over 1.5 goals84.7%
Over 2.5 goals63.8%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Portland Timbers score first54.7%
Atlanta United score first40.6%
Portland Timbers clean sheet26.6%
Atlanta United clean sheet14.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420510087
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United prediction FAQs

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United?

Portland Timbers are favourites. They win 51.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 25.3% for Atlanta United. Including the draw, Portland Timbers avoid defeat 74.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United?

1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United?

Both teams score in 63.8% of simulations. Portland Timbers keep a clean sheet 26.6% of the time and Atlanta United 14.4%.

How many goals will there be in Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United?

The simulations average 3.30 goals: 1.97 for Portland Timbers and 1.34 for Atlanta United. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.8% and over 3.5 goals 42%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.