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We simulated Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy 100,000 times. Real Salt Lake won 63,344 of them (63.3%), the draw came up 19.1% of the time and LA Galaxy won 17.5%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 64.1% of simulations.
| Real Salt Lake win | 63.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.1% |
| LA Galaxy win | 17.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.43 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.4% |
| Real Salt Lake score first | 64.8% |
| LA Galaxy score first | 32.2% |
| Real Salt Lake clean sheet | 29.9% |
| LA Galaxy clean sheet | 9.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510219 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Salt Lake are favourites. They win 63.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.1% for the draw and 17.5% for LA Galaxy. Including the draw, Real Salt Lake avoid defeat 82.5% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations. Real Salt Lake keep a clean sheet 29.9% of the time and LA Galaxy 9.2%.
The simulations average 3.65 goals: 2.43 for Real Salt Lake and 1.22 for LA Galaxy. Over 1.5 goals lands 88% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.2% and over 3.5 goals 49.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.