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  1. Simulations
  2. MLS
  3. Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC
MLS · 100,000 simulations

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC prediction

We simulated Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC 100,000 times. Seattle Sounders won 62,632 of them (62.6%), the draw came up 19.4% of the time and Sporting KC won 17.9%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.1%), and both teams score in 65.7% of simulations.

Seattle Sounders badge
Seattle Sounders Seattle Stadium
2–1 Full time
Sporting KC badge
Sporting KC Away
62.6% 62,632 wins
19.4% Draw
17.9% 17,931 wins
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.27
Likeliest score
2-1 9.1%
Both score
65.7%
Over 2.5
71.4%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Seattle Sounders winning 62.6% and gave this exact score 9.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jair Marrufo Seattle Stadium, Seattle
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC live score, stats & lineups

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Friday 2 October, 02:30

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC simulation probabilities
Seattle Sounders win62.6%
Draw19.4%
Sporting KC win17.9%
Most likely score2-1 (9.1%)
Expected goals2.46 – 1.27
Both teams to score65.7%
Over 1.5 goals88.8%
Over 2.5 goals71.4%
Over 3.5 goals50.8%
Seattle Sounders score first65.9%
Sporting KC score first31.1%
Seattle Sounders clean sheet28.5%
Sporting KC clean sheet9%

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CF Montréal Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3–2.0 xG 63% Over 2.5 Chicago Fire Columbus Crew 2.0–1.4 xG 66% Over 2.5 Inter Miami Charlotte 2.8–1.3 xG 76% Over 2.5 New York RB Atlanta United 2.1–1.4 xG 67% Over 2.5 Orlando City New England 2.2–1.6 xG 72% Over 2.5 DC United New York City 1.4–1.5 xG 55% Over 2.5 Cincinnati Nashville SC 1.6–1.6 xG 62% Over 2.5 Philadelphia Union Toronto 2.5–1.0 xG 67% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420509985
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC prediction FAQs

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC?

Seattle Sounders are favourites. They win 62.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.4% for the draw and 17.9% for Sporting KC. Including the draw, Seattle Sounders avoid defeat 82.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC?

2-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.1%) and 3-1 (7.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC?

Both teams score in 65.7% of simulations. Seattle Sounders keep a clean sheet 28.5% of the time and Sporting KC 9%.

How many goals will there be in Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC?

The simulations average 3.72 goals: 2.46 for Seattle Sounders and 1.27 for Sporting KC. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.4% and over 3.5 goals 50.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.