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MLS · 100,000 simulations

SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers prediction

We simulated SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers 100,000 times. SJ Earthquakes won 48,807 of them (48.8%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Portland Timbers won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest SJ Earthquakes win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 68.4% of simulations.

SJ Earthquakes badge
SJ Earthquakes PayPal Park
3–1 Full time
Portland Timbers badge
Portland Timbers Away
48.8% 48,807 wins
23.6% Draw
27.6% 27,601 wins
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.51
Likeliest score
1-1 9.9% Top SJ Earthquakes win: 2-1 8.8%
Both score
68.4%
Over 2.5
68.6%

Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had SJ Earthquakes winning 48.8% and gave this exact score 6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Lorenzo Hernandez PayPal Park, San Jose
SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers live score, stats & lineups

SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Sunday 27 September, 03:30

SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers simulation probabilities
SJ Earthquakes win48.8%
Draw23.6%
Portland Timbers win27.6%
Most likely score1-1 (9.9%)
Expected goals2.04 – 1.51
Both teams to score68.4%
Over 1.5 goals87.8%
Over 2.5 goals68.6%
Over 3.5 goals47.4%
SJ Earthquakes score first58.7%
Portland Timbers score first36.8%
SJ Earthquakes clean sheet22.4%
Portland Timbers clean sheet13.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420510098
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers prediction FAQs

Who will win SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?

SJ Earthquakes are favourites. They win 48.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 27.6% for Portland Timbers. Including the draw, SJ Earthquakes avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?

1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-2 (6.6%). The likeliest SJ Earthquakes win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?

Both teams score in 68.4% of simulations. SJ Earthquakes keep a clean sheet 22.4% of the time and Portland Timbers 13.4%.

How many goals will there be in SJ Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?

The simulations average 3.56 goals: 2.04 for SJ Earthquakes and 1.51 for Portland Timbers. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.6% and over 3.5 goals 47.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.