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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sporting KC vs Dallas 100,000 times. Dallas won 44,077 of them (44.1%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Sporting KC won 30.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Dallas win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 64.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.2% and gave this exact score 11.2%.
| Sporting KC win | 30.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Dallas win | 44.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.2% |
| Sporting KC score first | 43.2% |
| Dallas score first | 51.7% |
| Sporting KC clean sheet | 17% |
| Dallas clean sheet | 23.3% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–1.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.7–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.6
xG
72%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.6–1.6
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510234 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dallas are favourites. They win 44.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 30.7% for Sporting KC. Including the draw, Dallas avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Dallas win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.9% of simulations. Sporting KC keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Dallas 23.3%.
The simulations average 3.27 goals: 1.47 for Sporting KC and 1.79 for Dallas. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.1% and over 3.5 goals 41.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.