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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated St. Louis City vs Toronto 100,000 times. St. Louis City won 57,673 of them (57.7%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Toronto won 19.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest St. Louis City win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 60.4% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had St. Louis City winning 57.7% and gave this exact score 6.7%.
| St. Louis City win | 57.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Toronto win | 19.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.09 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% |
| St. Louis City score first | 67.2% |
| Toronto score first | 27.7% |
| St. Louis City clean sheet | 31.9% |
| Toronto clean sheet | 12.8% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.8–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.1–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.6
xG
72%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510363 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
St. Louis City are favourites. They win 57.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 19.6% for Toronto. Including the draw, St. Louis City avoid defeat 80.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest St. Louis City win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.4% of simulations. St. Louis City keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and Toronto 12.8%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 2.09 for St. Louis City and 1.15 for Toronto. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.5% and over 3.5 goals 40.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.