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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sturm Graz vs Celje 100,000 times. Sturm Graz won 58,710 of them (58.7%), the draw came up 21.8% of the time and Celje won 19.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Sturm Graz win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 56.4% of simulations.
| Sturm Graz win | 58.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.8% |
| Celje win | 19.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.01 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 56.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% |
| Sturm Graz score first | 66.6% |
| Celje score first | 28.2% |
| Sturm Graz clean sheet | 34.8% |
| Celje clean sheet | 13.9% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684622 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sturm Graz are favourites. They win 58.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.8% for the draw and 19.5% for Celje. Including the draw, Sturm Graz avoid defeat 80.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.4% of simulations. Sturm Graz keep a clean sheet 34.8% of the time and Celje 13.9%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 2.01 for Sturm Graz and 1.07 for Celje. Over 1.5 goals lands 81% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59% and over 3.5 goals 36.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.