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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Toronto vs Chicago Fire 100,000 times. Chicago Fire won 38,585 of them (38.6%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Toronto won 35.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Chicago Fire win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations.
Full time 4-4. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Toronto win | 35.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Chicago Fire win | 38.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.63 |
| Both teams to score | 64.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.4% |
| Toronto score first | 42.2% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 52.1% |
| Toronto clean sheet | 20% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 21.5% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–2.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.8–1.3
xG
77%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.1–1.5
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.6
xG
73%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510197 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chicago Fire are favourites. They win 38.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 35.5% for Toronto. Including the draw, Chicago Fire avoid defeat 64.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations. Toronto keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Chicago Fire 21.5%.
The simulations average 3.19 goals: 1.56 for Toronto and 1.63 for Chicago Fire. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.5% and over 3.5 goals 39.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.