Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock host Motherwell in the Scotland Premiership on Saturday 17 October 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our model makes Motherwell favourites at 37%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 19 meetings, Kilmarnock won 5, Motherwell won 8 and 6 were drawn.

Scotland Premiership Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 Save

Kilmarnock

15:00

17 Oct

Motherwell

Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Win probabilities

36%Kilmarnock 27%Draw 37%Motherwell

Half-time result Pro

Kilmarnock
Draw
Motherwell

Double chance

Kilmarnock or draw 63%
Motherwell or draw 64%
Kilmarnock or Motherwell 74%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Kilmarnock/Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock/Draw
Kilmarnock/Motherwell
Draw/Kilmarnock
Draw/Draw
Draw/Motherwell
Motherwell/Kilmarnock
Motherwell/Draw
Motherwell/Motherwell

Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Form

Kilmarnock L D W D D

Motherwell L L L L W

KilmarnockMotherwell

20% Win rate 20%

0.60 Goals scored 0.80

1.00 Goals conceded 1.80

40% Both teams score 20%

20% Over 2.5 goals 60%

40% Clean sheets 20%

40% Scored first 20%

0.96 xG for 1.28

1.43 xG against 2.04

12.60 Match corners 12.00

From 5 and 5 matches.

Kilmarnock at home and Motherwell away this season.

0% Win rate 25%

0.50 Goals scored 1.50

2.75 Goals conceded 1.75

50% Both teams score 75%

50% Over 2.5 goals 75%

0% Clean sheets 0%

25% Scored first 50%

0.87 xG for 1.30

3.09 xG against 2.38

9.50 Match corners 13.75

From 4 and 4 matches.