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Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bristol City vs Norwich City 100,000 times. Bristol City won 40,766 of them (40.8%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Norwich City won 32.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Bristol City win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations.
| Bristol City win | 40.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Norwich City win | 32.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 56.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.4% |
| Bristol City score first | 50.2% |
| Norwich City score first | 42.4% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 27.8% |
| Norwich City clean sheet | 23.1% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643942 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bristol City are favourites. They win 40.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 32.3% for Norwich City. Including the draw, Bristol City avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Bristol City win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations. Bristol City keep a clean sheet 27.8% of the time and Norwich City 23.1%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.48 for Bristol City and 1.29 for Norwich City. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.3% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.