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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers 100,000 times. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 40,298 of them (40.3%), the draw came up 28.5% of the time and Bristol City won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 0-1 (9.8%). Both teams score in 52.1% of simulations.
| Bristol City win | 31.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 40.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 52.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.3% |
| Bristol City score first | 41.1% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers score first | 49.6% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 25.8% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet | 31.2% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644005 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wolverhampton Wanderers are favourites. They win 40.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.5% for the draw and 31.2% for Bristol City. Including the draw, Wolverhampton Wanderers avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 0-1 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.1% of simulations. Bristol City keep a clean sheet 25.8% of the time and Wolverhampton Wanderers 31.2%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 1.18 for Bristol City and 1.37 for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.7% and over 3.5 goals 25.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.