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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cagliari vs Frosinone 100,000 times. Frosinone won 40,230 of them (40.2%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Cagliari won 33.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest Frosinone win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 63.2% of simulations.
| Cagliari win | 33.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Frosinone win | 40.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.49 – 1.64 |
| Both teams to score | 63.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.3% |
| Cagliari score first | 45.6% |
| Frosinone score first | 48.6% |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 19.7% |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 22.9% |
Venezia
Udinese
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Torino
Lecce
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Parma
Bologna
0.9–1.5
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Roma
Sassuolo
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Lazio
1.5–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Genoa
AC Milan
1.0–1.5
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Monza
Atalanta
1.5–1.7
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Inter
Como
2.1–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668914 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Frosinone are favourites. They win 40.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 33.8% for Cagliari. Including the draw, Frosinone avoid defeat 66.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Frosinone win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.2% of simulations. Cagliari keep a clean sheet 19.7% of the time and Frosinone 22.9%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 1.49 for Cagliari and 1.64 for Frosinone. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.