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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Torino vs Lecce 100,000 times. Torino won 48,927 of them (48.9%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Lecce won 24.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Torino win is 1-0 (10.2%). Both teams score in 53.2% of simulations.
| Torino win | 48.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Lecce win | 24.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.62 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% |
| Torino score first | 58.4% |
| Lecce score first | 33.9% |
| Torino clean sheet | 34.2% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 20.3% |
Venezia
Udinese
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Frosinone
1.5–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Parma
Bologna
0.9–1.5
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Roma
Sassuolo
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Lazio
1.5–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Genoa
AC Milan
1.0–1.5
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Monza
Atalanta
1.5–1.7
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Inter
Como
2.1–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668994 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Torino are favourites. They win 48.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 24.9% for Lecce. Including the draw, Torino avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest Torino win is 1-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.2% of simulations. Torino keep a clean sheet 34.2% of the time and Lecce 20.3%.
The simulations average 2.70 goals: 1.62 for Torino and 1.08 for Lecce. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.5% and over 3.5 goals 28.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.