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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Genoa vs AC Milan 100,000 times. AC Milan won 48,411 of them (48.4%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Genoa won 23.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest AC Milan win is 0-1 (11.8%). Both teams score in 48.8% of simulations.
| Genoa win | 23.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| AC Milan win | 48.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 0.98 – 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 48.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.8% |
| Genoa score first | 38.1% |
| AC Milan score first | 52.5% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 22.7% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 38% |
Venezia
Udinese
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Frosinone
1.5–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Torino
Lecce
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Parma
Bologna
0.9–1.5
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Roma
Sassuolo
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Lazio
1.5–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Monza
Atalanta
1.5–1.7
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Inter
Como
2.1–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668906 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AC Milan are favourites. They win 48.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.9% for Genoa. Including the draw, AC Milan avoid defeat 76.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.8%) and 0-0 (9.5%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 0-1 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.8% of simulations. Genoa keep a clean sheet 22.7% of the time and AC Milan 38%.
The simulations average 2.48 goals: 0.98 for Genoa and 1.50 for AC Milan. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.9% and over 3.5 goals 23.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.