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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Parma vs Bologna 100,000 times. Bologna won 49,315 of them (49.3%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Parma won 23.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (12.5%). Both teams score in 47.3% of simulations.
| Parma win | 23.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Bologna win | 49.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.93 – 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 47.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% |
| Parma score first | 33.4% |
| Bologna score first | 56.7% |
| Parma clean sheet | 23% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 39.6% |
Venezia
Udinese
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Frosinone
1.5–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Torino
Lecce
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Roma
Sassuolo
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Lazio
1.5–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Genoa
AC Milan
1.0–1.5
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Monza
Atalanta
1.5–1.7
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Inter
Como
2.1–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668901 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bologna are favourites. They win 49.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 23.1% for Parma. Including the draw, Bologna avoid defeat 77% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (12.5%) and 0-0 (9.8%). The likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (12.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.3% of simulations. Parma keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Bologna 39.6%.
The simulations average 2.42 goals: 0.93 for Parma and 1.49 for Bologna. Over 1.5 goals lands 70% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.5% and over 3.5 goals 22.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.