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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Monza vs Atalanta 100,000 times. Atalanta won 41,641 of them (41.6%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Monza won 34%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Atalanta win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 64.6% of simulations.
| Monza win | 34% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Atalanta win | 41.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 64.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Monza score first | 41.2% |
| Atalanta score first | 54.1% |
| Monza clean sheet | 18.3% |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 21.9% |
Venezia
Udinese
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Frosinone
1.5–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Torino
Lecce
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Parma
Bologna
0.9–1.5
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Roma
Sassuolo
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Lazio
1.5–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Genoa
AC Milan
1.0–1.5
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Inter
Como
2.1–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669126 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atalanta are favourites. They win 41.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 34% for Monza. Including the draw, Atalanta avoid defeat 66% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Atalanta win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.6% of simulations. Monza keep a clean sheet 18.3% of the time and Atalanta 21.9%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.54 for Monza and 1.72 for Atalanta. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.