Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cardiff City vs Burnley 100,000 times. Cardiff City won 48,570 of them (48.6%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Burnley won 28%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Cardiff City win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations.
| Cardiff City win | 48.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Burnley win | 28% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 62.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.9% |
| Cardiff City score first | 52% |
| Burnley score first | 43.3% |
| Cardiff City clean sheet | 26.1% |
| Burnley clean sheet | 16.2% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643732 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cardiff City are favourites. They win 48.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 28% for Burnley. Including the draw, Cardiff City avoid defeat 72% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.4% of simulations. Cardiff City keep a clean sheet 26.1% of the time and Burnley 16.2%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 1.85 for Cardiff City and 1.36 for Burnley. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.9% and over 3.5 goals 39.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.