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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
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New Predictions Show Episode Live!
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cardiff City vs West Ham United 100,000 times. West Ham United won 42,599 of them (42.6%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Cardiff City won 34.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest West Ham United win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 68.7% of simulations.
| Cardiff City win | 34.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| West Ham United win | 42.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | 68.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% |
| Cardiff City score first | 48.5% |
| West Ham United score first | 47.8% |
| Cardiff City clean sheet | 15.7% |
| West Ham United clean sheet | 19.4% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644009 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
West Ham United are favourites. They win 42.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 34.1% for Cardiff City. Including the draw, West Ham United avoid defeat 65.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest West Ham United win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.7% of simulations. Cardiff City keep a clean sheet 15.7% of the time and West Ham United 19.4%.
The simulations average 3.54 goals: 1.66 for Cardiff City and 1.88 for West Ham United. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.3% and over 3.5 goals 47%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.