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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United 100,000 times. Sheffield United won 39,584 of them (39.6%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Charlton Athletic won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Sheffield United win is 0-1 (9.8%). Both teams score in 52.4% of simulations.
| Charlton Athletic win | 32.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Sheffield United win | 39.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 52.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Charlton Athletic score first | 42.6% |
| Sheffield United score first | 49.1% |
| Charlton Athletic clean sheet | 26% |
| Sheffield United clean sheet | 30% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643731 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sheffield United are favourites. They win 39.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 32.9% for Charlton Athletic. Including the draw, Sheffield United avoid defeat 67.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Sheffield United win is 0-1 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.4% of simulations. Charlton Athletic keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Sheffield United 30%.
The simulations average 2.58 goals: 1.22 for Charlton Athletic and 1.36 for Sheffield United. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.5% and over 3.5 goals 26%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.