We simulated Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys 100,000 times. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza won 45,910 of them (45.9%), the draw came up 30.3% of the time and Newell's Old Boys won 23.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.9%, while the likeliest Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza win is 1-0 (12.8%). Both teams score in 45.2% of simulations.
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza win | 45.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.3% |
| Newell's Old Boys win | 23.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 45.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.5% |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza score first | 55.9% |
| Newell's Old Boys score first | 32.2% |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza clean sheet | 40.7% |
| Newell's Old Boys clean sheet | 26.1% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490484 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are favourites. They win 45.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.3% for the draw and 23.8% for Newell's Old Boys. Including the draw, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.8%) and 0-0 (12%). The likeliest Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza win is 1-0 (12.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.2% of simulations. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza keep a clean sheet 40.7% of the time and Newell's Old Boys 26.1%.
The simulations average 2.26 goals: 1.36 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and 0.91 for Newell's Old Boys. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.4% and over 3.5 goals 19.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
