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Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen prediction

We simulated FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen 100,000 times. SC Heerenveen won 39,923 of them (39.9%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and FC Groningen won 36.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest SC Heerenveen win is 1-2 (8%). Both teams score in 70.4% of simulations.

FC Groningen badge
FC Groningen Euroborg
Saturday 21 November
SC Heerenveen badge
SC Heerenveen Away
36.4% 36,348 wins
23.7% Draw
39.9% 39,923 wins
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.86
Likeliest score
1-1 9.7% Top SC Heerenveen win: 1-2 8%
Both score
70.4%
Over 2.5
69.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Euroborg, Groningen

FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 21 November, 20:00

FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen simulation probabilities
FC Groningen win36.4%
Draw23.7%
SC Heerenveen win39.9%
Most likely score1-1 (9.7%)
Expected goals1.77 – 1.86
Both teams to score70.4%
Over 1.5 goals88.4%
Over 2.5 goals69.9%
Over 3.5 goals48.9%
FC Groningen score first52%
SC Heerenveen score first44.2%
FC Groningen clean sheet16%
SC Heerenveen clean sheet17.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420609818
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen?

SC Heerenveen are favourites. They win 39.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 36.4% for FC Groningen. Including the draw, SC Heerenveen avoid defeat 63.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen?

1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest SC Heerenveen win is 1-2 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen?

Both teams score in 70.4% of simulations. FC Groningen keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and SC Heerenveen 17.5%.

How many goals will there be in FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen?

The simulations average 3.63 goals: 1.77 for FC Groningen and 1.86 for SC Heerenveen. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.9% and over 3.5 goals 48.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.