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  1. Simulations
  2. Netherlands Eredivisie
  3. Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

We simulated Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar 100,000 times. AZ Alkmaar won 52,519 of them (52.5%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Sparta Rotterdam won 24.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 63.6% of simulations.

Sparta Rotterdam badge
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Sunday 22 November
AZ Alkmaar badge
AZ Alkmaar Away
24.7% 24,669 wins
22.8% Draw
52.5% 52,519 wins
Expected goals
1.32 – 2.01
Likeliest score
1-1 10.1% Top AZ Alkmaar win: 1-2 9.3%
Both score
63.6%
Over 2.5
64.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 22 November, 13:30

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar simulation probabilities
Sparta Rotterdam win24.7%
Draw22.8%
AZ Alkmaar win52.5%
Most likely score1-1 (10.1%)
Expected goals1.32 – 2.01
Both teams to score63.6%
Over 1.5 goals84.8%
Over 2.5 goals64.4%
Over 3.5 goals42.6%
Sparta Rotterdam score first42.2%
AZ Alkmaar score first53.4%
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet13.8%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet27%

More Netherlands Eredivisie simulations

NEC Nijmegen PSV 1.6–2.3 xG 74% Over 2.5 FC Utrecht SC Cambuur 1.8–1.5 xG 64% Over 2.5 Feyenoord Excelsior 2.7–0.8 xG 68% Over 2.5 Telstar PEC Zwolle 1.7–1.4 xG 58% Over 2.5 FC Groningen SC Heerenveen 1.8–1.9 xG 70% Over 2.5 FC Twente Willem II 3.6–0.6 xG 78% Over 2.5 Ajax ADO Den Haag 2.8–0.9 xG 70% Over 2.5 Go Ahead Eagles Fortuna Sittard 2.0–1.2 xG 62% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar prediction FAQs

Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar are favourites. They win 52.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 24.7% for Sparta Rotterdam. Including the draw, AZ Alkmaar avoid defeat 75.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Both teams score in 63.6% of simulations. Sparta Rotterdam keep a clean sheet 13.8% of the time and AZ Alkmaar 27%.

How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

The simulations average 3.33 goals: 1.32 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.01 for AZ Alkmaar. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.4% and over 3.5 goals 42.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.