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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Denmark vs Norway 100,000 times. Denmark won 41,351 of them (41.4%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Norway won 34.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Denmark win is 2-1 (8.6%). Both teams score in 63% of simulations.
| Denmark win | 41.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| Norway win | 34.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.1% |
| Denmark score first | 45.6% |
| Norway score first | 49.6% |
| Denmark clean sheet | 22.8% |
| Norway clean sheet | 19.3% |
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.7–1.5
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.5–0.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
1.0–1.6
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.1–1.0
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.1–0.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Liechtenstein
Azerbaijan
0.3–2.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725782 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Denmark are favourites. They win 41.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 34.1% for Norway. Including the draw, Denmark avoid defeat 66% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Denmark win is 2-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Denmark keep a clean sheet 22.8% of the time and Norway 19.3%.
The simulations average 3.17 goals: 1.67 for Denmark and 1.50 for Norway. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.1% and over 3.5 goals 39.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.