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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Wales vs Portugal 100,000 times. Portugal won 67,919 of them (67.9%), the draw came up 17.8% of the time and Wales won 14.3%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.6%), and both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.
| Wales win | 14.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.8% |
| Portugal win | 67.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.91 – 2.28 |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.4% |
| Wales score first | 26.6% |
| Portugal score first | 69.2% |
| Wales clean sheet | 10.8% |
| Portugal clean sheet | 40.4% |
Moldova
Kazakhstan
1.2–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.6
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.7–1.5
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.5–0.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
0.9–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.1–1.0
xG
35%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725784 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portugal are favourites. They win 67.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.8% for the draw and 14.3% for Wales. Including the draw, Portugal avoid defeat 85.7% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. Wales keep a clean sheet 10.8% of the time and Portugal 40.4%.
The simulations average 3.19 goals: 0.91 for Wales and 2.28 for Portugal. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.3% and over 3.5 goals 39.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.