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  1. Simulations
  2. Netherlands Eredivisie
  3. Feyenoord vs Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

Feyenoord vs Excelsior prediction

We simulated Feyenoord vs Excelsior 100,000 times. Feyenoord won 77,000 of them (77%), the draw came up 13.6% of the time and Excelsior won 9.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.6%), and both teams score in 52% of simulations.

Feyenoord badge
Feyenoord Stadion Feijenoord
Saturday 21 November
Excelsior badge
Excelsior Away
77% 77,000 wins
13.6% Draw
9.5% 9,454 wins
Expected goals
2.72 – 0.83
Likeliest score
2-0 10.6%
Both score
52%
Over 2.5
68.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam

Feyenoord vs Excelsior in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 21 November, 17:45

Feyenoord vs Excelsior simulation probabilities
Feyenoord win77%
Draw13.6%
Excelsior win9.5%
Most likely score2-0 (10.6%)
Expected goals2.72 – 0.83
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals86.2%
Over 2.5 goals68.4%
Over 3.5 goals47.3%
Feyenoord score first76.9%
Excelsior score first20.6%
Feyenoord clean sheet43.8%
Excelsior clean sheet6.9%

More Netherlands Eredivisie simulations

NEC Nijmegen PSV 1.6–2.3 xG 74% Over 2.5 FC Utrecht SC Cambuur Open to simulate Telstar PEC Zwolle 1.7–1.4 xG 58% Over 2.5 FC Groningen SC Heerenveen 1.8–1.9 xG 70% Over 2.5 FC Twente Willem II 3.6–0.6 xG 78% Over 2.5 Ajax ADO Den Haag 2.8–0.9 xG 70% Over 2.5 Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar 1.3–2.0 xG 64% Over 2.5 Go Ahead Eagles Fortuna Sittard 2.0–1.2 xG 62% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Feyenoord vs Excelsior prediction FAQs

Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

Feyenoord are favourites. They win 77% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.6% for the draw and 9.5% for Excelsior. Including the draw, Feyenoord avoid defeat 90.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

2-0, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

Both teams score in 52% of simulations. Feyenoord keep a clean sheet 43.8% of the time and Excelsior 6.9%.

How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

The simulations average 3.55 goals: 2.72 for Feyenoord and 0.83 for Excelsior. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.4% and over 3.5 goals 47.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.