OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close
  1. Simulations
  2. Netherlands Eredivisie
  3. NEC Nijmegen vs PSV
Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV prediction

We simulated NEC Nijmegen vs PSV 100,000 times. PSV won 53,658 of them (53.7%), the draw came up 21.4% of the time and NEC Nijmegen won 24.9%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.6%), and both teams score in 71% of simulations.

NEC Nijmegen badge
NEC Nijmegen Goffertstadion
Saturday 21 November
PSV badge
PSV Away
24.9% 24,940 wins
21.4% Draw
53.7% 53,658 wins
Expected goals
1.55 – 2.30
Likeliest score
1-2 8.6%
Both score
71%
Over 2.5
73.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 21 November, 15:30

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV simulation probabilities
NEC Nijmegen win24.9%
Draw21.4%
PSV win53.7%
Most likely score1-2 (8.6%)
Expected goals1.55 – 2.30
Both teams to score71%
Over 1.5 goals90.2%
Over 2.5 goals73.5%
Over 3.5 goals53.4%
NEC Nijmegen score first39.4%
PSV score first57.5%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet10.4%
PSV clean sheet21.7%

More Netherlands Eredivisie simulations

FC Utrecht SC Cambuur Open to simulate Feyenoord Excelsior 2.7–0.8 xG 68% Over 2.5 Telstar PEC Zwolle 1.7–1.4 xG 58% Over 2.5 FC Groningen SC Heerenveen 1.8–1.9 xG 70% Over 2.5 FC Twente Willem II 3.6–0.6 xG 78% Over 2.5 Ajax ADO Den Haag 2.8–0.9 xG 70% Over 2.5 Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar 1.3–2.0 xG 64% Over 2.5 Go Ahead Eagles Fortuna Sittard 2.0–1.2 xG 62% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609661
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV prediction FAQs

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV?

PSV are favourites. They win 53.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.4% for the draw and 24.9% for NEC Nijmegen. Including the draw, PSV avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV?

1-2, which came up in 8.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.4%) and 2-2 (6.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV?

Both teams score in 71% of simulations. NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet 10.4% of the time and PSV 21.7%.

How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV?

The simulations average 3.85 goals: 1.55 for NEC Nijmegen and 2.30 for PSV. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.5% and over 3.5 goals 53.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.