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  1. Simulations
  2. Netherlands Eredivisie
  3. Ajax vs ADO Den Haag
Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

Ajax vs ADO Den Haag prediction

We simulated Ajax vs ADO Den Haag 100,000 times. Ajax won 77,006 of them (77%), the draw came up 13.9% of the time and ADO Den Haag won 9.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 53.5% of simulations.

Ajax badge
Ajax Johan Cruijff Arena
Sunday 22 November
ADO Den Haag badge
ADO Den Haag Away
77% 77,006 wins
13.9% Draw
9.1% 9,074 wins
Expected goals
2.79 – 0.86
Likeliest score
2-0 10.1%
Both score
53.5%
Over 2.5
70%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Ajax vs ADO Den Haag in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 22 November, 13:30

Ajax vs ADO Den Haag simulation probabilities
Ajax win77%
Draw13.9%
ADO Den Haag win9.1%
Most likely score2-0 (10.1%)
Expected goals2.79 – 0.86
Both teams to score53.5%
Over 1.5 goals87.4%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49.2%
Ajax score first75.5%
ADO Den Haag score first21.5%
Ajax clean sheet42.8%
ADO Den Haag clean sheet6.6%

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NEC Nijmegen PSV 1.6–2.3 xG 74% Over 2.5 FC Utrecht SC Cambuur Open to simulate Feyenoord Excelsior 2.7–0.8 xG 68% Over 2.5 Telstar PEC Zwolle 1.7–1.4 xG 58% Over 2.5 FC Groningen SC Heerenveen 1.8–1.9 xG 70% Over 2.5 FC Twente Willem II 3.6–0.6 xG 78% Over 2.5 Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar 1.3–2.0 xG 64% Over 2.5 Go Ahead Eagles Fortuna Sittard 2.0–1.2 xG 62% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Ajax vs ADO Den Haag prediction FAQs

Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?

Ajax are favourites. They win 77% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.9% for the draw and 9.1% for ADO Den Haag. Including the draw, Ajax avoid defeat 90.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?

2-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?

Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations. Ajax keep a clean sheet 42.8% of the time and ADO Den Haag 6.6%.

How many goals will there be in Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?

The simulations average 3.65 goals: 2.79 for Ajax and 0.86 for ADO Den Haag. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70% and over 3.5 goals 49.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.