We simulated Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers 100,000 times. Incheon United won 39,733 of them (39.7%), the draw came up 30.9% of the time and Pohang Steelers won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.1%, while the likeliest Incheon United win is 1-0 (12.2%). Both teams score in 45% of simulations.
| Incheon United win | 39.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.9% |
| Pohang Steelers win | 29.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.4% |
| Incheon United score first | 47.4% |
| Pohang Steelers score first | 40.3% |
| Incheon United clean sheet | 37.1% |
| Pohang Steelers clean sheet | 30.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420514554 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Incheon United are favourites. They win 39.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.9% for the draw and 29.4% for Pohang Steelers. Including the draw, Incheon United avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12.3%) and 1-0 (12.2%). The likeliest Incheon United win is 1-0 (12.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45% of simulations. Incheon United keep a clean sheet 37.1% of the time and Pohang Steelers 30.2%.
The simulations average 2.21 goals: 1.21 for Incheon United and 1.00 for Pohang Steelers. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38% and over 3.5 goals 18.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
