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  1. Simulations
  2. EFL League Two
  3. Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra
EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra prediction

We simulated Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra 100,000 times. Gillingham won 36,666 of them (36.7%), the draw came up 29.2% of the time and Crewe Alexandra won 34.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.8%, while the likeliest Gillingham win is 1-0 (8.8%). Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.

Gillingham badge
Gillingham MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Saturday 21 November
Crewe Alexandra badge
Crewe Alexandra Away
36.7% 36,666 wins
29.2% Draw
34.1% 34,109 wins
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.25
Likeliest score
1-1 13.8% Top Gillingham win: 1-0 8.8%
Both score
52.8%
Over 2.5
46.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated MEMS Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham

Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Saturday 21 November, 12:30

Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra simulation probabilities
Gillingham win36.7%
Draw29.2%
Crewe Alexandra win34.1%
Most likely score1-1 (13.8%)
Expected goals1.31 – 1.25
Both teams to score52.8%
Over 1.5 goals73.4%
Over 2.5 goals46.9%
Over 3.5 goals25.5%
Gillingham score first48.2%
Crewe Alexandra score first42.4%
Gillingham clean sheet29%
Crewe Alexandra clean sheet27.5%

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Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420646550
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra prediction FAQs

Who will win Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?

Gillingham are favourites. They win 36.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.2% for the draw and 34.1% for Crewe Alexandra. Including the draw, Gillingham avoid defeat 65.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?

1-1, which came up in 13.8% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 1-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?

Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. Gillingham keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Crewe Alexandra 27.5%.

How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?

The simulations average 2.56 goals: 1.31 for Gillingham and 1.25 for Crewe Alexandra. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.9% and over 3.5 goals 25.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.