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  1. Simulations
  2. EFL League Two
  3. Northampton Town vs Rochdale
EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Northampton Town vs Rochdale prediction

We simulated Northampton Town vs Rochdale 100,000 times. Northampton Town won 54,818 of them (54.8%), the draw came up 24.1% of the time and Rochdale won 21.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.5%), and both teams score in 48.5% of simulations.

Northampton Town badge
Northampton Town Sixfields Stadium
Saturday 21 November
Rochdale badge
Rochdale Away
54.8% 54,818 wins
24.1% Draw
21.1% 21,053 wins
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.93
Likeliest score
1-0 12.5%
Both score
48.5%
Over 2.5
47.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Northampton Town vs Rochdale in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Saturday 21 November, 15:00

Northampton Town vs Rochdale simulation probabilities
Northampton Town win54.8%
Draw24.1%
Rochdale win21.1%
Most likely score1-0 (12.5%)
Expected goals1.67 – 0.93
Both teams to score48.5%
Over 1.5 goals72.8%
Over 2.5 goals47.9%
Over 3.5 goals26.4%
Northampton Town score first61.8%
Rochdale score first30.4%
Northampton Town clean sheet39.9%
Rochdale clean sheet19.2%

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Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420646543
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Northampton Town vs Rochdale prediction FAQs

Who will win Northampton Town vs Rochdale?

Northampton Town are favourites. They win 54.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.1% for the draw and 21.1% for Rochdale. Including the draw, Northampton Town avoid defeat 79% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Northampton Town vs Rochdale?

1-0, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Northampton Town vs Rochdale?

Both teams score in 48.5% of simulations. Northampton Town keep a clean sheet 39.9% of the time and Rochdale 19.2%.

How many goals will there be in Northampton Town vs Rochdale?

The simulations average 2.60 goals: 1.67 for Northampton Town and 0.93 for Rochdale. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.9% and over 3.5 goals 26.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.