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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town 100,000 times. Fleetwood Town won 42,515 of them (42.5%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and Crawley Town won 31.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations.
| Crawley Town win | 31.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| Fleetwood Town win | 42.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.38 – 1.63 |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.7% |
| Crawley Town score first | 46.2% |
| Fleetwood Town score first | 47.9% |
| Crawley Town clean sheet | 19.9% |
| Fleetwood Town clean sheet | 25.5% |
Gillingham
Crewe Alexandra
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Swindon Town
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Northampton Town
Rochdale
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Accrington Stanley
Salford City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury Town
2.1–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Port Vale
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Colchester United
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
Rotherham United
2.2–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646530 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fleetwood Town are favourites. They win 42.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 31.7% for Crawley Town. Including the draw, Fleetwood Town avoid defeat 68.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations. Crawley Town keep a clean sheet 19.9% of the time and Fleetwood Town 25.5%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.38 for Crawley Town and 1.63 for Fleetwood Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.