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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Oldham Athletic vs Exeter City 100,000 times. Oldham Athletic won 51,392 of them (51.4%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Exeter City won 24.9%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.3%), and both teams score in 49.9% of simulations.
| Oldham Athletic win | 51.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Exeter City win | 24.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 49.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.8% |
| Oldham Athletic score first | 54.6% |
| Exeter City score first | 38.8% |
| Oldham Athletic clean sheet | 36.4% |
| Exeter City clean sheet | 20.6% |
Gillingham
Crewe Alexandra
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Swindon Town
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
1.4–1.6
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Northampton Town
Rochdale
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Accrington Stanley
Salford City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury Town
2.1–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Port Vale
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Colchester United
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646819 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Oldham Athletic are favourites. They win 51.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 24.9% for Exeter City. Including the draw, Oldham Athletic avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.9% of simulations. Oldham Athletic keep a clean sheet 36.4% of the time and Exeter City 20.6%.
The simulations average 2.62 goals: 1.60 for Oldham Athletic and 1.02 for Exeter City. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.4% and over 3.5 goals 26.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.